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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | bbbo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,599 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | vvrzc2dd22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,796 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | pingsh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,033 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | Heartfelt-Marker | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 283d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d |  XiJinpingCexo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,037 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 283d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 283d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $9,519 | +$3,904 +41% | 4 |
| 283d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 2 |
| 283d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$158 +5.6% | 2 |
| 283d | yfcyfc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$71 −7.0% | — |
| 283d | Bin9x | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$87 −7.5% | — |
| 283d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $10,727 | −$10,727 −100% | 4 |
| 283d | ont5555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$972 −77% | — |
| 283d | ont5555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$562 +34% | 4 |
| 283d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $11,348 | +$11,034 +97% | 4 |
| 283d | vc-b | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$2,160 +117% | 5 |
| 283d | bbbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$1,970 +104% | 5 |
| 283d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 4 |
| 283d |  fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyDown68¢ → 0¢ | $13,420 | −$13,420 −100% | 4 |
| 283d | Gforce101 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp49¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | −$1,827 −105% | — |
| 283d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | SellUp26¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$2,926 −285% | — |
| 283d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13? | BuyDown78¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 3 |
fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv27,075 shares
0x77771,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.