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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | HX333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 282d |  maximoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,900 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 282d | nienore | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 282d | maximoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,900 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 282d | PholyBettor | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 282d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,943 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 282d |  OraculumNobius | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 282d | eddee | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 282d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,692 | +$74 +1.0% | 2 |
| 282d |  Donateplease2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $19,705 | +$479 +2.4% | 2 |
| 282d |  OVOXOSM | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$71 +3.5% | 2 |
| 282d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $4,587 | −$425 −9.3% | — |
| 282d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $10,424 | +$4,760 +46% | 4 |
| 282d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,453 | +$472 +14% | 3 |
| 282d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$318 +12% | 3 |
| 282d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$90 +7.5% | 2 |
| 282d | vc-b | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$1,667 +96% | 4 |
| 283d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$1,424 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.