Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Curvy-Anagram | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,302 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | Cc2026 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,848 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | yyujin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,752 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966111 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $20,406 | +$5,969 +29% | 4 |
| 281d |  maximoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 281d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $7,859 | +$846 +11% | 3 |
| 281d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown87¢ → 100¢ | $2,446 | −$356 −15% | — |
| 281d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$280 +16% | 3 |
| 281d |  RRRPhantom | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 281d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 281d | hayesemily | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp8¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | +$1,159 +100% | — |
| 281d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $7,363 | −$763 −10% | — |
| 281d | multistratpooh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp24¢ → 0¢ | $1,207 | +$1,207 +100% | — |
| 281d | Gforce101 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp34¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | +$2,700 +100% | — |
| 282d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp37¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 282d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp42¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | −$1,407 −100% | 5 |
| 282d | Gforce101 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp17¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | Cc2026 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$847 +56% | 4 |
| 282d | Curvy-Anagram | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown56¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$1,896 +79% | 4 |
| 282d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $14,108 | −$14,108 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | +$1,013 +100% | — |
| 282d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | clarencecarpenter2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $6,752 | −$5,078 −75% | — |
| 282d | anthonywest | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown46¢ → 100¢ | $3,110 | −$3,641 −117% | — |
| 282d | qgross | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellDown46¢ → 100¢ | $3,865 | −$4,565 −118% | — |
| 282d | ascetic0x2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown46¢ → 100¢ | $9,748 | +$11,595 +119% | 6 |
| 282d | anthonywest | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp52¢ → 0¢ | $6,752 | +$6,752 +100% | — |
| 282d | qgross | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp54¢ → 0¢ | $8,430 | +$8,430 +100% | — |
| 282d | hayesemily | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $8,009 | −$8,009 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SellUp53¢ → 0¢ | $5,292 | +$5,292 +100% | — |
| 282d | anthonywest | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $6,813 | −$6,813 −100% | 4 |
| 282d | qgross | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $8,116 | −$8,116 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  howard22222 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,229 | −$1,229 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  shoucai | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,261 | −$1,261 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  chukou | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  meicong | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  srcsb | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | −$1,341 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  xianzaia | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 3 |
| 282d |  mamubukan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 3 |
| 282d | Insistent-Calf | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | +$3,470 +100% | 4 |
| 283d |  kuye | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | −$1,430 −100% | 3 |
| 283d |  realgod | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 3 |
| 283d |  qusiba | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | −$1,286 −100% | 3 |
| 283d |  shuai155 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.