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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | sleepin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,447 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d | Hanh-883 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,910 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 279d | penguinrainbows | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  Suhaslb94 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,561 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 279d | ganbaruru | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 279d | reevesly727 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,972 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 279d | LightYagami.D | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,301 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 279d | LightYagami.D | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,302 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 279d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $11,165 | +$1,230 +11% | 3 |
| 279d | multistratpooh3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $7,365 | −$537 −7.3% | — |
| 279d | ohysyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$61 −5.7% | — |
| 279d | exceeding16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $27,040 | +$2,582 +9.5% | 3 |
| 279d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | −$145 −6.4% | — |
| 279d | easyclap13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $35,178 | +$7,321 +21% | 3 |
| 279d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $8,936 | −$2,159 −24% | — |
| 279d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$407 +15% | 3 |
| 280d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyDown11¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 5 |
| 280d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,133 | −$1,133 −100% | 4 |
| 280d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | SellDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,960 | +$1,960 +100% | — |
| 280d | 0xfdc072df1e4c7d91334cf622d0520d51aef5e6a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$1,265 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.