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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | Invest4Bfuture | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,761 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Fluffy-HistorianNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,121 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | 0xc265…d5ab | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | irbisSS | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $14,263 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Warmhearted-Interviewer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Pungent-Noun | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,079 | +$41 +0.8% | 2 |
| 278d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d | Tonyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d | Offbeat-Roadway | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d | DogplusCat | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d |  maximoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$54 +1.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Parched-Banking | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$138 +6.4% | 3 |
| 278d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $10,172 | +$3,314 +33% | 4 |
| 278d |  FUNNY4WIEN | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp12¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | +$1,020 +100% | — |
| 278d | Invest4Bfuture | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$663 +32% | 4 |
| 278d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp30¢ → 0¢ | $5,795 | −$5,795 −100% | 11 |
| 278d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$703 +35% | 4 |
| 278d | Fluffy-HistorianNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$388 +22% | 5 |
| 278d | Unconscious-RoosterNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp22¢ → 0¢ | $1,762 | +$1,762 +100% | — |
| 278d | Unconscious-RoosterNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 8 |
| 278d |  reny86 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp44¢ → 0¢ | $24,039 | −$24,039 −100% | 8 |
| 278d | vc-b | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp30¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 5 |
| 278d | reny83 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp33¢ → 0¢ | $11,358 | +$11,358 +100% | — |
| 278d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown58¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$1,365 +73% | 4 |
| 278d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$2,486 +94% | 4 |
| 279d |  zhiyu | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,727 | −$1,727 −100% | 3 |
| 279d |  qianxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,514 | −$1,514 −100% | 3 |
| 279d |  pianduan | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,467 | −$1,467 −100% | 3 |
| 279d |  xiangwei | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,314 | −$1,314 −100% | 3 |
| 279d | ysna2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,037 | −$2,037 −100% | 3 |
| 279d |  shuyuwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | −$1,161 −100% | 3 |
| 279d |  meihuaa | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | −$1,094 −100% | 3 |
| 279d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 3 |
reny819,825 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.