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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | wagman | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,038 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | Bare-Halibut | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | kklim74 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,293 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 277d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,133 | −$37 −0.5% | — |
| 277d | mangtou | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,282 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 277d | yfcyfc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 277d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $20,212 | +$404 +2.0% | 2 |
| 277d | Bare-Halibut | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 277d | yfcyfc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$16 +1.6% | 2 |
| 277d | wagman | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$29 +2.8% | 2 |
| 277d | Impossible-CaliberNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | SellDown92¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$92 −8.6% | — |
| 277d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$206 +6.8% | 2 |
| 277d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$763 +37% | 4 |
| 277d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$995 +96% | 4 |
| 277d | koksik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyUp58¢ → 0¢ | $1,711 | −$1,711 −100% | 4 |
| 277d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyDown43¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$4,069 +131% | 5 |
| 278d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.