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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | ffva23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,146 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,264 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | AyeAye2025 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,196 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | palmetto | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,946 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $9,607 | +$518 +5.4% | 2 |
| 294d | TooMunchWinning | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,291 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,859 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 294d | Foolhardy-Implement | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,263 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | cccuh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,029 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 294d | orcxx11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$88 +6.4% | 3 |
| 294d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $5,952 | −$356 −6.0% | — |
| 294d |  ibrokethematrix | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$20 +2.0% | 2 |
| 294d | jayuan33 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $20,207 | +$796 +3.9% | 2 |
| 294d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $16,517 | −$688 −4.2% | — |
| 294d | redvinny3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $16,867 | +$2,000 +12% | 3 |
| 294d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | +$319 +15% | 3 |
| 294d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$218 +9.4% | 3 |
| 294d | siyi2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$213 +5.3% | 2 |
| 294d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $5,636 | +$385 +6.8% | 3 |
| 294d |  JaylenBrownRightHand | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | +$97 +4.2% | 2 |
| 294d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$450 +9.9% | 3 |
| 294d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | −$381 −12% | — |
| 294d | Darrenxiao2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $4,397 | +$281 +6.4% | 3 |
| 294d | Melon91 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | −$259 −9.9% | — |
| 294d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | −$1,556 −100% | 7 |
| 294d | palmetto | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$448 +30% | 4 |
| 295d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 7 |
| 295d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $3,758 | −$3,758 −100% | 7 |
| 295d | Melon91 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$903 +69% | 4 |
| 295d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$1,548 +79% | 4 |
| 296d | jgvjkfdh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
Aghor12 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
