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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown>99¢ | $18,850 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | yzfcqf888666 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 276d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $5,545 | −$96 −1.7% | — |
| 276d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,244 | +$44 +1.0% | 2 |
| 276d |  timebrotime | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$37 +1.8% | 2 |
| 276d | Bare-Halibut | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 276d | vonbin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$46 +2.6% | 2 |
| 276d | maria.masullo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | −$59 −3.5% | — |
| 276d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$73 +5.3% | 2 |
| 276d |  Horozbi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | −$229 −11% | — |
| 276d | guoguoge | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $10,282 | +$630 +6.1% | 2 |
| 276d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $7,120 | +$880 +12% | 3 |
| 276d |  reny8 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | SellDown64¢ → 100¢ | $10,457 | −$5,769 −55% | — |
| 276d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$1,926 +52% | 4 |
| 276d | reny82 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$6,727 +71% | 4 |
| 277d | Horozbi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$940 +89% | 4 |
| 277d | jjbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$949 +92% | 4 |
| 277d | jjbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 277d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,200 +100% | 3 |
dps.02,890 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.