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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | multistratpooh2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | −$68 −2.4% | — |
| 274d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,399 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,003 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d | Krag676 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,029 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 274d | fukkcc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$28 +2.2% | 2 |
| 274d | Clumsy-CollarNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown7¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | −$1,299 −100% | 10 |
| 274d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $4,811 | +$350 +7.3% | 2 |
| 274d | 0x96db…4bd2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown11¢ → 0¢ | $3,112 | −$3,112 −100% | 13 |
| 274d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$51 +3.2% | 2 |
| 274d | yhgsd | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | +$88 +3.6% | 2 |
| 274d | uytftuyf | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,642 | +$139 +5.3% | 2 |
| 274d | zzq27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$136 +7.5% | 2 |
| 274d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $9,928 | +$954 +9.6% | 3 |
| 275d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 275d | huanghao | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | −$192 −9.9% | — |
| 275d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | −$206 −11% | — |
| 275d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$65 +6.4% | 2 |
| 275d |  win-ok | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$116 +7.5% | 2 |
| 275d | o4lildm50c2v | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$154 −15% | — |
| 275d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $2,417 | −$2,417 −100% | 5 |
| 275d | exceeding5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $5,280 | −$5,280 −100% | 4 |
| 275d | smartttt2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $10,692 | +$8,015 +75% | 4 |
| 275d | huanghao | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$983 +85% | 4 |
| 275d | Identical-Schooner | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $5,696 | −$5,696 −100% | 4 |
| 275d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $2,058 | −$2,058 −100% | 3 |
| 275d |  timebrotime | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,904 +95% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.