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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | djaywc3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $13,910 | −$4,424 −32% | — |
| 273d | Frozen-Petal | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,298 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $28,485 | +$4,178 +15% | 3 |
| 273d | JP-Yuina | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 273d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$26 +2.2% | 2 |
| 273d | exceeding8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $15,062 | +$938 +6.2% | 2 |
| 273d |  shxsuixbt | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | −$189 −7.5% | — |
| 273d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | −$1,292 −59% | — |
| 273d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896617 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $11,023 | −$11,023 −100% | 5 |
| 273d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $2,460 | +$2,460 +100% | — |
| 273d | GaleMartin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$660 +49% | 5 |
| 273d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$331 +22% | 4 |
| 273d | lqI2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $9,507 | −$2,381 −25% | — |
| 273d | lqI | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $9,138 | +$2,749 +30% | 4 |
| 273d | KingKashi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $3,813 | −$3,813 −100% | 9 |
| 273d | jjbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$464 +43% | 5 |
| 273d | IwillRichSoon3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | +$1,659 +53% | 4 |
| 273d | djaywc2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $7,282 | +$4,409 +61% | 4 |
| 273d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 5 |
| 273d | thedogrex | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $3,698 | −$3,698 −100% | 4 |
| 273d | Fluffy-HistorianNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $5,270 | −$3,230 −61% | — |
| 273d | dfrhdthb | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | +$844 +35% | 4 |
| 273d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $3,886 | −$3,886 −100% | 10 |
| 274d | GaleMartin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 274d | xxgxxg | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$833 +41% | 4 |
| 274d | shxsuixbt | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$983 +57% | 4 |
| 274d | PERCIGOO2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | SellUp65¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$1,441 −55% | — |
| 274d | PERCIGOO | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$1,229 +43% | 4 |
| 274d |  0x1588 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | +$1,343 +82% | 4 |
| 274d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,290 | +$3,106 +94% | 4 |
Almyfroes2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.