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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,619 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | marcse | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,037 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,162 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 271d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,896 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 271d | BigChad | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$196 +11% | 3 |
| 271d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $11,944 | +$2,880 +24% | 4 |
| 271d | djaywc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellUp11¢ → 0¢ | $1,917 | +$1,917 +100% | — |
| 271d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | −$358 −25% | — |
| 271d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellDown82¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | −$540 −22% | — |
| 271d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$373 +19% | 3 |
| 272d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$237 +15% | 3 |
| 272d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$266 +15% | 3 |
| 272d | IwillRichSoon2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | +$752 +31% | 4 |
| 272d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | SellDown86¢ → 100¢ | $7,134 | −$1,161 −16% | — |
| 272d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 3 |
| 272d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyUp23¢ → 0¢ | $1,989 | −$1,989 −100% | 8 |
| 272d | Darrenxiao | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $6,336 | −$6,336 −100% | 4 |
| 272d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | +$2,838 +100% | 4 |
| 272d | rsxn | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown47¢ → 100¢ | $4,033 | +$4,557 +113% | 5 |
| 272d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | −$1,159 −100% | 4 |
| 272d | djaywc2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $4,985 | −$4,985 −100% | 4 |
| 272d | vvzev | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | +$2,117 +104% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.