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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270d | Dead-Dinosaur | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,858 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | marcse | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,196 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | Hanh-883 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 270d | Dead-Dinosaur | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | +$37 +1.0% | 2 |
| 270d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966119 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $46,027 | +$17,103 +37% | 4 |
| 270d | exceeding6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $9,007 | +$2,895 +32% | 4 |
| 270d | imv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | −$62 −1.9% | — |
| 270d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 270d | 5f5a5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown84¢ → 100¢ | $7,449 | −$1,411 −19% | — |
| 270d | tom33y | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown68¢ → 100¢ | $6,049 | −$2,813 −47% | — |
| 270d | Moist-VacuumNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,393 | +$1,393 +100% | — |
| 270d | iamgone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyUp28¢ → 0¢ | $4,776 | −$4,776 −100% | 11 |
| 270d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$85 +7.5% | 3 |
| 270d | sslz2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $3,080 | −$3,080 −100% | 11 |
| 270d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896617 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $10,330 | −$10,330 −100% | 4 |
| 270d | djaywc5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $17,076 | −$17,076 −100% | 4 |
| 270d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown33¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$2,563 −204% | — |
| 270d | djaywc2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $9,972 | +$9,972 +100% | — |
| 271d |  xiaohuangxiaohuang | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown60¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$1,200 +67% | 4 |
| 271d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown45¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | +$3,537 +123% | 5 |
| 271d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown52¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$1,440 −92% | — |
| 271d | patternrecovery | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellUp45¢ → 0¢ | $3,122 | +$3,122 +100% | — |
| 271d | yangle1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellUp45¢ → 0¢ | $4,121 | +$4,121 +100% | — |
| 271d | apiaccounting | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellUp42¢ → 0¢ | $1,981 | +$1,981 +100% | — |
| 271d | yangle1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 8 |
| 271d | yangle1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown69¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | −$1,331 −45% | — |
| 271d | yangle1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,344 +34% | 4 |
| 271d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | SellDown75¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | −$524 −33% | — |
| 271d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$684 +56% | 4 |
| 271d | tom33y2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown60¢ → 100¢ | $5,350 | +$3,512 +66% | 4 |
| 271d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$1,871 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.