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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | 100kGem | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown>99¢ | $35,054 | +$36 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 266d | 100kGem | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,196 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 267d | tinco | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 267d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $6,028 | +$385 +6.4% | 2 |
| 267d | John1455 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | +$101 +5.8% | 2 |
| 267d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | −$276 −18% | — |
| 267d | Thehabbi | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $6,510 | −$6,510 −100% | 13 |
| 267d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$633 +52% | 4 |
| 267d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyUp42¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 267d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$923 +89% | 4 |
| 267d | nhojgvh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,350 +100% | 4 |
| 267d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$900 +89% | 4 |
| 267d | 67544 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $2,080 | −$2,080 −100% | 4 |
| 267d | RolyPoliOli | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$1,185 +93% | 3 |
| 267d | cveeaz | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 |
| 267d | Breakable-CormorantNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | — |
| 267d | Breakable-CormorantNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.