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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293d |  Suhaslb94 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,035 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | Lumpkin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  youzi-chigua | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,537 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | Foolhardy-Implement | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,260 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d |  kboss2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,735 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 293d | lunlimk | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 293d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,681 | +$77 +2.9% | 2 |
| 293d | CHIB666 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | +$66 +2.3% | 2 |
| 293d | Paula202246 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellUp17¢ → 0¢ | $1,633 | +$1,633 +100% | — |
| 293d | exceeding9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellDown76¢ → 100¢ | $17,860 | −$5,513 −31% | — |
| 293d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896617 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $21,272 | +$4,653 +22% | 3 |
| 293d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $2,642 | −$2,642 −100% | 10 |
| 293d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | −$297 −9.9% | — |
| 293d | exceeding12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $19,700 | +$4,300 +22% | 3 |
| 293d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $17,877 | +$3,450 +19% | 3 |
| 293d |  XiJinpingCexo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyUp12¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | −$1,053 −100% | 4 |
| 293d | TEFL0ND0N3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | SellUp27¢ → 0¢ | $4,011 | +$4,011 +100% | — |
| 294d | TEFL0ND0N | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyUp27¢ → 0¢ | $2,218 | −$2,218 −100% | 7 |
| 294d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $3,133 | −$3,133 −100% | 4 |
| 294d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3? | BuyUp58¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.