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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −86 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | Tasty-BalconyNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,311 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | mrandmrsjane2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellDown22¢ → 100¢ | $3,837 | −$13,537 −353% | — |
| 265d | mike365 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,091 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 265d | sashaa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,505 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,682 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | myrtisboyer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,753 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown63¢ → 100¢ | $17,931 | +$10,683 +60% | 4 |
| 265d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $5,075 | −$255 −5.0% | — |
| 265d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 265d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$98 +7.5% | 3 |
| 265d |  Bao.btc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellUp31¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | +$1,046 +100% | — |
| 266d | leo05me06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellDown60¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$973 −67% | — |
| 266d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown26¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$10,209 +289% | 10 |
| 266d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyUp86¢ → 0¢ | $3,535 | −$3,535 −100% | 3 |
| 266d | mrandmrsjane | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown12¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$14,183 +735% | 9 |
| 266d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | SellUp88¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | +$1,228 +100% | — |
| 266d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $7,022 | −$7,022 −100% | 4 |
| 266d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyDown19¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$4,319 +427% | 4 |
| 266d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? | BuyUp80¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.