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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,766 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | AyeAye2025 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | Foolhardy-Implement3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $10,490 | +$55 +0.5% | 2 |
| 290d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $7,705 | +$5,306 +69% | 4 |
| 290d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $10,393 | −$10,393 −100% | 4 |
| 290d |  jputa | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 5 |
| 290d | greatanon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | SellUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,304 | +$1,304 +100% | — |
| 290d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | SellUp74¢ → 0¢ | $1,244 | +$1,244 +100% | — |
| 290d | greatanon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp79¢ → 0¢ | $1,577 | −$1,577 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | justhuman.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp71¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | −$1,612 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown46¢ → 100¢ | $10,256 | +$12,258 +120% | 6 |
| 290d |  fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | SellDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | −$2,048 −104% | — |
| 290d | bypol | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,600 +64% | 4 |
| 290d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | SellDown63¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$714 −59% | — |
| 290d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp47¢ → 0¢ | $12,483 | −$12,483 −100% | 6 |
| 290d | bbbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | 332erg | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown45¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$3,056 +122% | 6 |
| 291d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 3 |
| 291d | Lumpkin | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$1,456 +99% | 3 |
jputa5,918 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.