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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,331 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Definitive-NectarineNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,670 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | AyeAye2025 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,726 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | LEOW | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,382 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $8,364 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | LEOW | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 289d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | −$48 −3.4% | — |
| 289d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$117 −9.9% | — |
| 289d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown55¢ → 100¢ | $15,357 | +$12,689 +83% | 4 |
| 289d | Definitive-NectarineNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$273 +11% | 4 |
| 289d | Glorp692 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp44¢ → 0¢ | $6,298 | −$6,298 −100% | 6 |
| 289d | facaishu | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $3,168 | +$1,062 +34% | 4 |
| 289d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $5,047 | +$5,047 +100% | — |
| 289d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $4,584 | −$4,584 −100% | 4 |
| 289d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $8,590 | −$8,590 −100% | 4 |
| 289d | Magnificent-Still | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown28¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$5,057 +253% | 8 |
| 290d | Sociopathy | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $4,452 | +$3,948 +89% | 4 |
| 290d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $4,031 | −$4,031 −100% | 4 |
| 291d |  timebrotime | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 3 |
| 291d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.