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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,545 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | lastinspector | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | +$23 +1.1% | 2 |
| 114d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $6,487 | +$284 +4.4% | 2 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $4,963 | +$1,628 +33% | 4 |
| 114d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$521 +52% | 4 |
| 115d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | SellDown38¢ → 0¢ | $1,864 | +$1,864 +100% | — |
| 115d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.