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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 469d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,222 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | Anoneth | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | leiger | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,691 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | astromage | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,389 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | iamrich | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | Everoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,744 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,181 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d |  UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $15,480 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d |  borabora-836 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,626 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 469d | Hashbrown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $14,967 | +$155 +1.0% | 2 |
| 469d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $8,841 | +$234 +2.7% | 2 |
| 469d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $9,803 | +$724 +7.4% | 2 |
| 469d |  manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,207 | +$141 +6.4% | 2 |
| 470d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $3,723 | −$1,595 −43% | — |
| 470d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | +$1,576 +54% | 4 |
| 470d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | SellDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | +$1,171 +100% | — |
| 470d | swoswo883 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $4,488 | +$4,312 +96% | 3 |
| 470d | sww883 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $4,452 | −$4,452 −100% | 3 |
| 471d |  eCash | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,408 | −$2,408 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 10 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 11 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 10 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 11 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
