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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 466d | sinhane | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,537 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | Malangk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,040 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 466d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,951 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,806 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 466d | leiger | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,507 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 466d | AZwater2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $25,921 | +$50 +0.2% | 2 |
| 467d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $9,624 | +$1,362 +14% | 3 |
| 467d | Malangk2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$915 +14% | 3 |
| 467d |  Alphax | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | −$250 −5.3% | — |
| 467d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $12,418 | +$1,658 +13% | 3 |
| 467d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 467d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $11,206 | −$1,819 −16% | — |
| 467d |  infinitystones | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 3 |
| 467d | sinhane | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,258 | +$283 +8.7% | 3 |
| 467d |  predictor555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$113 −11% | — |
| 467d |  VinnyViral3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $5,545 | +$955 +17% | 3 |
| 467d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $3,285 | +$1,215 +37% | 4 |
| 467d | precision4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $9,428 | +$2,014 +21% | 3 |
| 467d | Besiege3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $4,618 | +$1,382 +30% | 4 |
| 467d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $2,988 | −$1,342 −45% | — |
| 467d | brr694208 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $14,830 | −$14,830 −100% | 11 |
| 467d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 4 |
| 467d | brr6942011 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $24,228 | −$17,454 −72% | — |
| 467d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,814 | +$1,814 +100% | — |
| 467d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $18,491 | +$12,922 +70% | 4 |
| 467d |  TheQuietRisk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $4,846 | −$4,846 −100% | 4 |
| 467d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellDown44¢ → 0¢ | $6,072 | +$6,072 +100% | — |
| 467d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | SellUp61¢ → 100¢ | $3,374 | −$2,184 −65% | — |
| 467d |  cowardly | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,904 | +$1,496 +79% | 4 |
| 467d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $3,147 | −$3,147 −100% | 4 |
| 468d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,728 +86% | 3 |
| 468d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,274 | −$3,274 −100% | 3 |
| 468d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,366 | +$3,234 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 13 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 13 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
