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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,495 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,048 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | jiruding12124 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,980 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | xi12uqi7213 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,634 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 101d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $6,584 | +$182 +2.8% | 2 |
| 101d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | +$51 +1.1% | 2 |
| 102d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$1,244 +38% | 4 |
| 102d |  coinman24 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $16,848 | +$3,347 +20% | 3 |
| 102d | fred4332 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $5,354 | −$659 −12% | — |
| 102d | fred43323 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $4,264 | +$4,012 +94% | 4 |
| 102d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $3,661 | −$3,661 −100% | 5 |
| 102d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,487 | −$1,487 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya13,035 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.