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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 99d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $5,683 | +$612 +11% | 3 |
| 99d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $9,100 | +$1,852 +20% | 3 |
| 99d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$67 +2.2% | 2 |
| 99d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $18,418 | +$969 +5.3% | 2 |
| 100d | kangkang1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BuyUp19¢ → 0¢ | $2,699 | −$2,699 −100% | 10 |
| 100d | fred4332 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | +$1,056 +100% | — |
trulyalya11,579 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.