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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 463d | Lucrat1ve2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $8,839 | −$4,424 −50% | — |
| 463d | Bumblebee890 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $6,757 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,157 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,496 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | 0x82c6c1a53290fba0c7a18fc40d2c9206f03f2e5 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | Michael43965 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown65¢ → 100¢ | $10,929 | −$5,932 −54% | — |
| 463d |  VinnyViral3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $12,341 | −$289 −2.3% | — |
| 463d | Besiege3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $11,381 | −$876 −7.7% | — |
| 463d |  DDDASHEE | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $7,510 | +$118 +1.6% | 2 |
| 463d |  Krasue6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $16,035 | +$5,244 +33% | 4 |
| 463d | Besiege4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $13,416 | +$2,592 +19% | 3 |
| 463d | affs207914 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $7,785 | +$1,465 +19% | 3 |
| 463d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,524 | +$1,524 +100% | — |
| 463d | VinnyViral4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $11,375 | +$1,390 +12% | 3 |
| 463d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown71¢ → 100¢ | $10,370 | −$4,241 −41% | — |
| 463d | Lucrat1ve2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $10,003 | +$2,747 +27% | 4 |
| 463d | Lucrat1ve | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellUp14¢ → 0¢ | $2,336 | +$2,336 +100% | — |
| 463d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellUp38¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | +$2,280 +100% | — |
| 463d | NouvelleVision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown63¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$2,031 +58% | 4 |
| 463d | Lucrat1ve | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $1,671 | −$1,671 −100% | 6 |
| 463d |  sportsgaza2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp28¢ → 0¢ | $2,342 | −$2,342 −100% | 8 |
| 463d | Michael43965 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown62¢ → 100¢ | $10,460 | +$6,401 +61% | 4 |
| 463d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellUp30¢ → 0¢ | $3,365 | +$3,365 +100% | — |
| 463d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $4,841 | +$1,797 +37% | 4 |
| 463d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp45¢ → 0¢ | $4,929 | −$4,929 −100% | 6 |
| 463d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$750 +18% | 3 |
| 463d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$238 +12% | 3 |
| 463d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | −$1,015 −49% | — |
| 463d | Bumblebee890 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $4,734 | +$2,029 +43% | 4 |
| 463d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp26¢ → 0¢ | $1,319 | −$1,319 −100% | 5 |
| 463d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$336 +30% | 4 |
| 463d |  Bakiboy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp43¢ → 0¢ | $4,440 | −$4,440 −100% | 6 |
| 463d | precision5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $13,998 | +$6,002 +43% | 4 |
| 463d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown74¢ → 100¢ | $3,434 | −$1,206 −35% | — |
| 463d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$2,274 +96% | 4 |
| 463d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp73¢ → 0¢ | $3,285 | −$3,285 −100% | 4 |
| 464d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 4 |
| 464d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | +$1,700 +100% | — |
| 464d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,635 | −$1,635 −100% | 4 |
| 464d | Exploiter2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$2,738 +98% | 3 |
| 464d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $3,468 | −$3,468 −100% | 3 |
| 464d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $3,350 | +$3,350 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 16 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 17 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 16 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 17 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
