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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d |  Leisurely | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,228 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 99d | AnonymousPerson | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,108 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | lizhongbin12242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d |  gugu-gaga | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,010 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Leisurely | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,224 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 99d | chenweirong34582 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown100¢ | $3,980 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 99d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 99d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,626 | +$37 +1.0% | 2 |
| 99d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | +$51 +1.8% | 2 |
| 99d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $9,858 | +$1,530 +16% | 3 |
| 99d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,718 | −$55 −2.0% | — |
| 99d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$100 +2.0% | 2 |
| 99d |  RAZE001 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$38 +3.3% | 2 |
| 99d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $19,883 | +$1,555 +7.8% | 2 |
| 99d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,119 +86% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.