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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,960 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 113d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,894 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,888 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 113d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,064 | +$33 +1.1% | 2 |
| 113d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $10,862 | +$1,902 +18% | 3 |
| 113d | bbc3333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown14¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 7 |
| 113d | Am23492 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $3,354 | −$506 −15% | — |
| 113d | GoldenSpin2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $2,943 | −$2,943 −100% | 6 |
| 113d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | SellDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,544 | +$1,544 +100% | — |
| 113d | krillyamyam | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyDown64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 114d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$2,956 +171% | 5 |
| 114d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,463 +98% | 4 |
Cristiano771,700 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.