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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,746 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | Besiege9 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown68¢ → 100¢ | $23,466 | −$11,022 −47% | — |
| 459d | brr6942029 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown55¢ → 100¢ | $44,247 | +$36,470 +82% | 4 |
| 459d | Mraka2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $6,229 | +$6,229 +100% | — |
| 459d | Besiege5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $9,690 | +$6,647 +69% | 5 |
| 459d | precision12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown65¢ → 100¢ | $35,599 | −$19,008 −53% | — |
| 459d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$263 −25% | — |
| 459d | brr6942014 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown52¢ → 100¢ | $21,066 | −$19,621 −93% | — |
| 459d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 4 |
| 459d |  VinnyViral5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp71¢ → 0¢ | $13,529 | −$13,529 −100% | 4 |
| 459d | VinnyViral4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown39¢ → 100¢ | $6,922 | −$10,831 −156% | — |
| 459d | precision12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown69¢ → 100¢ | $30,056 | +$13,340 +44% | 4 |
| 459d | 3.14159265359 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp89¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 3 |
| 459d | Besiege4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp75¢ → 0¢ | $9,372 | −$9,372 −100% | 4 |
| 459d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $3,107 | −$3,107 −100% | 5 |
| 459d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $3,813 | +$3,813 +100% | — |
| 459d | Besiege2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp57¢ → 0¢ | $5,266 | +$5,266 +100% | — |
| 459d |  Snooty | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 4 |
| 459d |  manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$762 +41% | 4 |
| 459d | VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown68¢ → 100¢ | $3,022 | +$1,422 +47% | 5 |
| 459d |  JannnikSinner | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $1,514 | −$1,514 −100% | 5 |
| 459d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp76¢ → 0¢ | $1,489 | −$1,489 −100% | 4 |
| 459d | cannibalbunnies | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp73¢ → 0¢ | $1,469 | +$1,469 +100% | — |
| 459d |  WaitHope3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown50¢ → 100¢ | $20,239 | −$20,169 −100% | — |
| 460d | WaitHope | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$953 +30% | 4 |
| 460d | Mraka2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp38¢ → 0¢ | $5,739 | −$5,739 −100% | 8 |
| 460d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | −$1,049 −96% | — |
| 460d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$4,000 +100% | 3 |
| 460d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $4,131 | −$4,131 −100% | 3 |
VinnyViral25,090 shares
Fartard2,952 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 20 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 21 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 20 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 21 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.