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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 94d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,932 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 94d |  gugu-gaga | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,500 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 94d | wangziwen6248514 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,950 | +$50 +0.6% | 2 |
| 94d | Arcus-AI | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | −$34 −1.4% | — |
| 94d | zhi3rn7304 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,928 | +$72 +0.9% | 2 |
| 94d | chenweirong34584 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,940 | +$60 +0.8% | 2 |
| 94d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,691 | +$39 +1.1% | 2 |
| 94d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$60 +3.3% | 2 |
| 94d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $7,259 | +$1,908 +26% | 3 |
| 95d | Arcus-AI | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$452 +23% | 3 |
| 95d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $1,636 | −$1,636 −100% | 4 |
| 95d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $1,132 | −$1,132 −100% | 4 |
| 95d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown63¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | +$1,138 +100% | — |
aize53,227 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.