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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 94d | zhi3rn7304 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,946 | +$54 +0.7% | 2 |
| 94d | chenweirong34584 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,944 | +$56 +0.7% | 2 |
| 94d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,473 | +$47 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | −$110 −6.4% | — |
| 94d | easypredict8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $15,029 | +$4,330 +29% | 3 |
| 94d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$329 +22% | 4 |
| 95d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,527 | −$1,527 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.