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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | ny23apin7542 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,976 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 91d | zhi3rn7302 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,976 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 91d | Incognitoo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,649 | +$26 +0.6% | 2 |
| 91d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | −$45 −1.5% | — |
| 92d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$210 +12% | 3 |
| 92d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$283 +22% | 4 |
| 92d | kingofcoinflips7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown68¢ → 100¢ | $15,975 | +$7,579 +47% | 4 |
| 92d | rankone13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $8,176 | −$8,176 −100% | 4 |
| 92d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyUp87¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 3 |
| 92d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyUp59¢ → 0¢ | $4,733 | −$4,733 −100% | 4 |
| 92d | pmxmmwall | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | SellDown38¢ → 100¢ | $3,121 | −$5,034 −161% | — |
| 92d | pmxmmwall2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | SellUp58¢ → 0¢ | $10,539 | +$10,539 +100% | — |
| 92d | pmxmmwall3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyUp61¢ → 0¢ | $8,519 | −$8,519 −100% | 4 |
| 92d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown44¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$2,240 +127% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.