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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $3,666 | +$902 +25% | 4 |
| 90d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04529 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $18,996 | +$5,274 +28% | 4 |
| 90d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp40¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$2,131 +150% | 5 |
| 90d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $3,701 | −$3,701 −100% | 4 |
| 90d |  kinza23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$1,278 +123% | 4 |
| 90d | degens9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $2,212 | +$2,212 +100% | — |
| 91d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $4,715 | +$2,765 +59% | 4 |
| 91d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | −$1,983 −61% | — |
| 91d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $3,226 | +$2,274 +71% | 4 |
trulyalya11,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.