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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,766 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,147 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,622 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,496 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $13,095 | −$132 −1.0% | — | |
| 452d | 5551ab | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 452d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 452d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $7,227 | +$301 +4.2% | 2 |
| 452d | Concacsieutokhonglo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$45 +4.2% | 2 |
| 452d | brr6942015 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $26,723 | +$16,147 +60% | 4 |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $6,069 | +$920 +15% | 3 | |
| 452d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$117 +8.8% | 3 |
| 452d | brr694208 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $16,826 | −$5,201 −31% | — |
| 452d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $17,964 | −$17,964 −100% | 5 |
| 452d | Besiege5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $8,038 | +$1,962 +24% | 4 |
| 452d | Besiege2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$1,500 −60% | — |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp73¢ → 100¢ | $9,323 | −$3,531 −38% | — | |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $10,443 | +$1,790 +17% | 3 | |
| 452d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $39,622 | +$20,337 +51% | 5 | |
| 453d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $9,237 | +$9,237 +100% | — |
| 453d | Cryptobruj | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 5 |
| 453d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $5,355 | −$5,355 −100% | 5 | |
| 453d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$1,440 +92% | 5 |
| 453d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,577 | −$1,577 −100% | 4 |
| 453d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $6,582 | −$6,582 −100% | 4 | |
| 454d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,675 | −$2,675 −100% | 3 |
| 454d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,754 | +$2,646 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 26 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 27 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 26 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 27 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.