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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,365 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 86d | vedaresearch.btc | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SellUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$992 −69% | — |
| 86d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SellDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,606 | +$1,606 +100% | — |
| 86d | vedaresearch.btc | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyUp39¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$1,686 +156% | 5 |
| 86d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $2,869 | −$1,230 −43% | — |
| 86d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$128 +8.7% | 3 |
| 86d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$573 +41% | 4 |
| 86d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $9,998 | −$9,998 −100% | 9 |
| 87d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyUp39¢ → 100¢ | $5,850 | +$9,150 +156% | 8 |
| 87d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $3,778 | −$3,778 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya11,531 shares
bombaster250 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.