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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | gobblewobble13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $20,572 | +$4,959 +24% | 4 |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$185 +14% | 3 |
| 112d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$667 +67% | 4 |
| 112d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,559 | +$1,559 +100% | — |
| 112d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $2,470 | −$2,470 −100% | 4 |
Cristiano771,600 sharescoinman21,087 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.