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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 477d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 477d | edc-10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 477d |  Armenia3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,484 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 477d |  aleksandmoney2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,768 | +$36 +0.6% | 2 |
| 477d |  WaitHope | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 477d | crypting2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $6,108 | +$297 +4.9% | 2 |
| 477d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,539 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 477d |  23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,716 | −$84 −1.8% | — |
| 477d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | −$39 −1.4% | — |
| 477d | ethan123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,099 | +$43 +0.5% | 2 |
| 477d | Yeahssd | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 477d | MIA6900 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$24 +2.0% | 2 |
| 477d | brr6942017 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp73¢ → 100¢ | $34,930 | −$13,218 −38% | — |
| 477d | Besiege11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp65¢ → 100¢ | $36,930 | −$19,983 −54% | — |
| 477d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,474 | −$107 −3.1% | — |
| 477d | jhz11224 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $13,037 | +$1,641 +13% | 3 |
| 477d | dollarloser99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | −$81 −3.5% | — |
| 477d | mvkassak | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | −$44 −2.9% | — |
| 477d |  JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$65 +6.4% | 3 |
| 477d | dapr | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 477d | batwoman | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$393 −34% | — |
| 477d | dollarloser99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$600 +33% | 4 |
| 477d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellDown32¢ → 0¢ | $2,753 | +$2,753 +100% | — |
| 477d | brr6942021 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $44,280 | +$19,057 +43% | 4 |
| 477d | Besiege18 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $38,993 | +$16,549 +42% | 4 |
| 477d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,445 | −$1,445 −100% | 5 |
| 477d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $6,782 | −$6,782 −100% | 10 |
| 477d | AR212 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellDown19¢ → 0¢ | $2,187 | +$2,187 +100% | — |
| 477d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $4,978 | +$1,833 +37% | 4 |
| 477d |  manwithahat2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $4,263 | +$2,026 +48% | 4 |
| 477d | AR212 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | −$1,509 −100% | 7 |
| 477d | CheeseCutter | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$252 +20% | 3 |
| 477d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $3,542 | +$529 +15% | 3 |
| 477d | Tonyy10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | −$293 −18% | — |
| 477d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | +$763 +25% | 3 |
| 477d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyDown10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 477d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,556 | +$316 +12% | 3 |
| 477d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$170 +15% | 3 |
| 477d | keborgan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$409 +14% | 3 |
| 477d | moony6 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$131 +12% | 3 |
| 477d | dapr | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$419 +39% | 4 |
| 478d | Vosita | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $4,079 | −$3,469 −85% | — |
| 478d | Vosita | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $5,131 | +$2,417 +47% | 4 |
| 478d | coinman23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | +$6,618 +84% | 4 |
| 478d | Pafuncio | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$6,000 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 2 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 3 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 2 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 3 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.