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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,882 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 85d |  AgricultureSecretary | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,690 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d |  meowmers | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | +$136 +6.4% | 3 |
| 85d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $7,625 | +$431 +5.7% | 2 |
| 85d | Isabella55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | −$348 −15% | — |
| 85d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $6,167 | +$4,236 +69% | 4 |
| 86d | Isabella55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$1,080 +68% | 4 |
| 86d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | −$1,780 −100% | 4 |
| 86d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $4,105 | −$4,105 −100% | 7 |
| 86d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $2,590 | −$2,590 −100% | 6 |
| 86d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$972 +59% | 4 |
| 86d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,941 | +$3,775 +96% | 4 |
| 86d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,385 +92% | 4 |
LimitAbit600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.