Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d | ARIS | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,797 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,628 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,218 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $11,970 | +$1,915 +16% | 3 |
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | −$1,500 −23% | — |
| 449d | Concacsieutokhonglo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,492 | +$139 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 449d | GrindMo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $11,835 | −$1,059 −8.9% | — |
| 449d | brr6942016 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp66¢ → 100¢ | $21,606 | −$11,053 −51% | — |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$51 +4.8% | 2 | |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$79 +4.3% | 2 | |
| 449d | brr6942024 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $40,224 | +$18,577 +46% | 4 |
| 449d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$640 +19% | 3 |
| 449d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellDown47¢ → 0¢ | $9,382 | +$9,382 +100% | — |
| 449d | iamgone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellDown53¢ → 0¢ | $4,544 | +$4,544 +100% | — |
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 5 |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$1,163 +41% | 4 | |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $3,415 | −$3,415 −100% | 5 | |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | +$1,151 +100% | — | |
| 449d | bambooo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $13,574 | −$13,574 −100% | 11 |
| 449d | brr6942015 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $24,915 | −$24,915 −100% | 8 |
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | +$1,010 +100% | — |
| 449d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,887 | −$1,887 −100% | 6 |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $2,264 | −$1,928 −85% | — | |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $3,391 | +$801 +24% | 4 | |
| 449d | bambooo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $16,260 | −$10,932 −67% | — |
| 449d | GrindMo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $10,487 | +$2,407 +23% | 4 |
| 449d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 4 |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $8,496 | +$3,304 +39% | 4 | |
| 449d | Ikkyu13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $3,123 | −$3,123 −100% | 9 |
| 449d | iQuitPolimarket | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellDown22¢ → 0¢ | $5,093 | +$5,093 +100% | — |
| 449d | iQuitPolimarket5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $20,786 | −$20,786 −100% | 12 |
| 449d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $5,910 | −$5,910 −100% | 11 | |
| 449d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SellUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$763 −56% | — |
| 450d | bambooo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$17,192 +172% | 10 |
| 450d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $5,654 | −$5,654 −100% | 4 |
| 450d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 450d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 3 |
| 450d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$2,450 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 30 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 31 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 30 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 31 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.