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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $17,357 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,296 | +$30 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 84d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown100¢ | $1,330 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 84d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown62¢ → 100¢ | $12,453 | +$7,478 +60% | 4 |
| 84d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$285 +11% | 3 |
| 84d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp75¢ → 0¢ | $2,723 | −$2,723 −100% | 4 |
| 85d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp59¢ → 0¢ | $1,264 | −$1,264 −100% | 4 |
| 85d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown48¢ → 100¢ | $5,232 | +$5,668 +108% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.