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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110d | chechefish | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,133 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $8,327 | +$50 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 110d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,018 | +$36 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 110d | KOT-BR | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $8,177 | +$74 +0.9% | 2 |
| 110d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$69 +1.1% | 2 |
| 110d | cts9774 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $6,827 | −$3,301 −48% | — |
| 110d | cts9774 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $6,377 | +$3,490 +55% | 4 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045218 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $24,264 | +$6,693 +28% | 3 |
| 110d | chechefish | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$949 +43% | 5 |
| 110d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp28¢ → 0¢ | $5,580 | −$5,580 −100% | 11 | |
| 110d | cts977 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | +$1,430 +100% | — |
| 110d | cts977 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $1,742 | −$1,742 −100% | 4 |
| 111d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,741 | −$1,741 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.