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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04527 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $16,029 | +$1,566 +9.8% | 3 |
| 109d | Noteagle | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp100¢ | $8,251 | +$41 +0.5% | 2 |
| 109d | gobblewobble22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $30,961 | +$8,898 +29% | 3 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $9,350 | −$9,350 −100% | 5 |
| 109d | kangkang123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$499 −43% | — |
| 109d | Aggressive-Thorn | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$634 −44% | — |
| 109d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellDown93¢ → 0¢ | $2,590 | +$2,590 +100% | — |
| 109d | gobblewobble12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown89¢ → 0¢ | $18,848 | −$18,848 −100% | 3 |
| 109d | Wary-Gemsbok | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown96¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 2 |
| 109d | redvinny | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown88¢ → 0¢ | $1,707 | −$1,707 −100% | 3 |
| 109d | Sociopathy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SellDown80¢ → 0¢ | $2,633 | +$2,633 +100% | — |
| 109d |  Bare-Fellow | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown82¢ → 0¢ | $6,457 | −$6,457 −100% | 4 |
| 109d |  coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $4,106 | +$2,230 +54% | 4 |
| 109d | Sociopathy | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown24¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 7 |
| 109d | prop-y | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$375 +25% | 3 |
| 110d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya12,844 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.