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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $12,156 | +$1,093 +9.0% | 3 |
| 108d | allen1142 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyUp>99¢ | $16,862 | +$42 +0.3% | 2 |
| 108d | gobblewobble5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$1,533 +25% | 3 |
| 108d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $5,562 | −$5,562 −100% | 3 |
| 108d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown74¢ → 0¢ | $7,128 | −$7,128 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $2,162 | −$2,162 −100% | 5 |
| 108d | Sociopathy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | SellDown67¢ → 0¢ | $7,428 | +$7,428 +100% | — |
| 108d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $4,734 | +$3,146 +66% | 4 |
| 108d | Sorrowful-Wife | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | SellDown59¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | +$1,009 +100% | — |
| 108d | Am2349 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | SellDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | +$1,036 +100% | — |
| 108d | kangkang1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | SellDown55¢ → 0¢ | $5,746 | +$5,746 +100% | — |
| 108d | Sociopathy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 8 |
| 108d | kangkang123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $1,596 | −$1,596 −100% | 6 |
| 108d | fred4332 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | SellUp73¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | −$1,390 −37% | — |
| 109d | fred4332 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | +$2,276 +79% | 4 |
| 109d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $2,206 | −$2,206 −100% | 5 |
trulyalya15,160 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.