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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 106d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,519 | +$101 +1.6% | 2 |
| 107d |  coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $7,709 | +$974 +13% | 3 |
| 107d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $6,861 | +$762 +11% | 3 |
| 107d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$1,018 +41% | 4 |
| 107d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya12,831 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.