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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Educated-Shoat2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,675 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 130d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $10,532 | +$98 +0.9% | 2 |
| 130d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 130d | mathisxy | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $8,694 | −$241 −2.8% | — |
| 130d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $12,646 | +$979 +7.7% | 2 |
| 131d | mathisxy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $7,286 | +$649 +8.9% | 3 |
| 131d | 0x2bde…ecba | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$138 +13% | 3 |
| 131d |  timebrotime2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $12,385 | +$11,843 +96% | 4 |
| 131d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
Bitjana10,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.