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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d | E9tieXt5vng965qYk | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,042 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,418 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 126d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,676 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,955 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,098 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 126d | wackoth12453428 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $21,401 | +$9,213 +43% | 4 |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$35 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 126d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$77 +3.1% | 2 |
| 126d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04529 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $24,414 | +$10,473 +43% | 4 |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $14,300 | +$5,700 +40% | 4 | |
| 126d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $7,030 | −$7,030 −100% | 7 |
| 126d | Bare-TentNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,419 +118% | 6 |
| 126d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $4,671 | −$4,671 −100% | 4 | |
| 126d | mathiinfo | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SellDown43¢ → 0¢ | $1,939 | +$1,939 +100% | — |
| 127d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$1,411 +42% | 4 |
| 127d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $6,593 | −$2,826 −43% | — |
| 127d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SellDown38¢ → 0¢ | $6,038 | +$6,038 +100% | — | |
| 127d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$961 +75% | 4 |
| 127d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $8,189 | −$8,189 −100% | 4 | |
| 127d | samzi | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.