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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | samzi | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 142d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $7,536 | +$2,589 +34% | 4 |
| 142d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 142d | Educated-ShoatNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $9,978 | +$60 +0.6% | 2 |
| 142d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$75 +1.5% | 2 |
| 142d | jhz11228 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $33,613 | +$1,382 +4.1% | 2 |
| 142d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | +$46 +2.2% | 2 |
| 142d | Adiazg | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$59 +3.2% | 2 |
| 142d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | SellUp16¢ → 0¢ | $1,596 | +$1,596 +100% | — |
| 142d | gobblewobble16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $34,741 | +$4,781 +14% | 3 |
| 142d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $30,071 | +$5,643 +19% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.