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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235d | Valet13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,262 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 235d |  fu-li-ge | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | ThePREDICTORRRR | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,393 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | case11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 236d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,013 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 236d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,004 | +$192 +6.4% | 2 |
| 236d | 0xe617…f2514 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$1,103 +3.7% | 2 |
| 236d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$52 −4.7% | — |
| 236d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $12,084 | +$723 +6.0% | 2 |
| 236d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$252 +18% | 3 |
| 236d | ThePREDICTORRRR | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $4,620 | +$1,380 +30% | 4 |
| 236d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $8,617 | +$2,431 +28% | 3 |
| 237d | erbrtgrh | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 3 |
| 237d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.