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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,116 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | bhkMarvin | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,069 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d |  kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | leo13456 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | bigwinner-lm | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 227d | 0x847f…9dd2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,395 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 227d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,767 | +$24 +0.5% | 2 |
| 227d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 227d | kakarotto007 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 227d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $5,523 | +$105 +1.9% | 2 |
| 227d | kakarotto007 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | +$37 +2.3% | 2 |
| 227d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$179 +12% | 3 |
| 227d | tryingmyluckhere | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown13¢ → 0¢ | $1,282 | −$1,282 −100% | 6 |
| 227d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,828 | −$108 −2.8% | — |
| 227d | Lawful-Venture4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $20,331 | +$440 +2.2% | 2 |
| 227d | 0xe617…f2514 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $37,970 | +$1,468 +3.9% | 2 |
| 227d | Valid-Processing | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$51 +4.1% | 2 |
| 227d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $16,449 | +$511 +3.1% | 2 |
| 227d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,589 | +$242 +5.3% | 2 |
| 227d | yyzzrebirth | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $4,760 | −$304 −6.4% | — |
| 227d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$83 +6.4% | 2 |
| 227d | yyzzrebirth | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $4,560 | +$805 +18% | 3 |
| 227d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | SellDown33¢ → 0¢ | $4,174 | +$4,174 +100% | — |
| 227d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $987 | −$987 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.