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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,564 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,254 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp100¢ | $6,242 | +$31 +0.5% | 2 |
| 222d |  0x66b71 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$35 +1.1% | 2 |
| 222d | 0xe617…f2515 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $16,985 | +$647 +3.8% | 2 |
| 222d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | −$79 −3.3% | — |
| 222d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$41 +3.3% | 2 |
| 222d |  .s2put | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,282 | −$199 −6.1% | — |
| 222d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $9,890 | +$677 +6.8% | 2 |
| 222d | Zigzag-Glove | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,317 | +$160 +4.8% | 3 |
| 222d | wealthblowup | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$75 +6.3% | 2 |
| 222d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyDown11¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 5 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$410 +22% | 4 |
| 222d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$265 +22% | 3 |
| 222d | tiantiank | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp66¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | −$972 −52% | — |
| 223d | .s2put | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$1,488 +77% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.