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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | des1reGO | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,048 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,488 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $30,789 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 221d | deeeadf2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 221d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 221d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,668 | +$120 +2.6% | 2 |
| 221d | claudecoder342 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,462 | +$28 +1.2% | 2 |
| 221d | DanielLovesSushi | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 221d | jjboon | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp100¢ | $2,033 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 222d | Thin-Print4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $21,843 | +$342 +1.6% | 2 |
| 222d | Zigzag-Glove | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | +$94 +2.7% | 2 |
| 222d | Lawful-Venture | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$69 +3.1% | 2 |
| 222d | DanielLovesSushi | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$59 +5.4% | 2 |
| 222d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $18,196 | +$729 +4.0% | 2 |
| 222d | MoonCFA | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$420 +27% | 3 |
| 222d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $11,539 | −$4,713 −41% | — |
| 222d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | −$1,780 −100% | 8 |
| 222d | timeone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | SellDown26¢ → 0¢ | $3,709 | +$3,709 +100% | — |
| 222d | des1reGO | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$1,504 +100% | 4 |
| 222d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $8,950 | +$8,899 +99% | 4 |
Endgamepol4,463 shares
Fartard2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.