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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Mirotadze | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,531 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Cristiano77 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,031 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Humble-Priest | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,353 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Wordy-DirectionNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,598 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 219d | 0x847f…9dd2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown>99¢ | $10,136 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 219d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $6,999 | +$107 +1.5% | 2 |
| 219d | Szgboy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,764 | +$94 +2.5% | 2 |
| 219d | 233231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $5,249 | −$395 −7.5% | — |
| 219d | Mirotadze | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$226 +6.8% | 3 |
| 219d | Incognitoo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $6,496 | +$484 +7.5% | 3 |
| 219d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $3,719 | +$873 +23% | 4 |
| 219d | 233231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyDown44¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$3,134 +129% | 6 |
| 219d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $2,906 | −$2,906 −100% | 5 |
| 219d | chaliwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | SellUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,385 | +$1,385 +100% | — |
| 219d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $3,405 | −$3,405 −100% | 4 |
| 220d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $3,046 | −$3,046 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.