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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | Wordy-DirectionNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,163 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | 0xcbc8…ea8f | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | 0x847f…9dd22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $10,316 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 218d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,355 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 218d | Szgboy2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,895 | +$52 +1.8% | 2 |
| 218d | Incognitoo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $4,576 | +$453 +9.9% | 3 |
| 218d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$335 +11% | 3 |
| 218d | Deficient-Conga | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$310 +23% | 4 |
| 219d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | SellUp29¢ → 0¢ | $2,470 | +$2,470 +100% | — |
| 219d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $3,708 | −$3,708 −100% | 5 |
| 219d | timeone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | −$4,843 −97% | — |
| 219d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $5,186 | +$3,614 +70% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.